Narrow search
Showing 61 - 70 of 731
Cover Image
Regional Economic Forecasting: State-of-the-Art Methodology and Future Challenge
Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - CESifo - 2014
Over the last decade, the topic of regional economic forecasting has become increasingly prevalent in academic literature. The most striking problem in this context is data availability at a regional level. However, considerable methodological improvements have been made to address this problem....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103393
Cover Image
Empirical regional economics : economic base theory, models and applications
Conway, Richard S. - 2022
This textbook offers an introduction to empirical regional economics, including a comprehensive and systematic overview of the fundamentals, history, development, and applications of economic base models. It not only provides a sound basis for regional economics and regional economic analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012601279
Cover Image
Short-term estimates of euro area real GDP by means of monthly data
Rünstler, Gerhard; Sédillot, Franck - 2003
The first official data releases of quarterly real GDP for the euro area are published about eight weeks after the end of the reference quarters. Meanwhile, ongoing economic developments must be assessed from various, more readily available, monthly indicators. We examine in the context of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604322
Cover Image
Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data
Diron, Marie - 2006
Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604668
Cover Image
Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth: a bottom up approach from the production side
Hahn, Elke; Skudelny, Frauke - 2008
This paper derives forecasts for euro area real GDP growth based on a bottom up approach from the production side. That is, GDP is forecast via the forecasts of value added across the different branches of activity, which is quite new in the literature. Linear regression models in the form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605021
Cover Image
MIDAS and bridge equations
Schumacher, Christian - 2014
multi-step nowcasting tool, whereas bridge equations are based on iterated forecasts; 2) MIDAS equations employ empirical … set for nowcasting includes the most recent indicator observations in both approaches. To discuss the differences between … models are compared in an empirical application to nowcasting GDP growth in the Euro area given a large set of business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435205
Cover Image
Weather, the Forgotten Factor in Business Cycle Analyses
Döhrn, Roland; an de Meulen, Philipp - 2015
In periods of unusual weather, forecasters face a problem of interpreting economic data: Which part goes back to the underlying economic trend and which part arises from a special weather effect? In this paper, we discuss ways to disentangle weather-related from business cycle-related influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010475130
Cover Image
The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area
Kitlinski, Tobias; an de Meulen, Philipp - 2015
Using factor models, it has recently been shown that a pre-selection of indicators improves GDP forecasts in the very short-term. The aim of this paper is to adopt this research to the methodology of bridge models in combination with pooling approaches. Focusing on Euro Area GDP between 2005 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531594
Cover Image
The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models : application to the euro area
Kitlinski, Tobias; Meulen, Philipp an de - 2015
Using factor models, it has recently been shown that a pre-selection of indicators improves GDP forecasts in the very short-term. The aim of this paper is to adopt this research to the methodology of bridge models in combination with pooling approaches. Focusing on Euro Area GDP between 2005 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532088
Cover Image
Weather, the forgotten factor in business cycle analyses
Döhrn, Roland; Meulen, Philipp an de - 2015
In periods of unusual weather, forecasters face a problem of interpreting economic data: Which part goes back to the underlying economic trend and which part arises from a special weather effect? In this paper, we discuss ways to disentangle weather-related from business cycle-related influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010473134