In this note a one-state, one-control variable quadratic linear problem with robust control and discount factor is developed to examine the optimal response of the first-period control to changes in future model uncertainty. A change in future model uncertainty has an effect on the optimal...

The choice of monetary policy is the most important concern of central banks. However, this choice is always confronted, inter alia, with two relevant aspects of economic policy: parameter instability and model uncertainty. This paper deals with both types of uncertainty using a very specific...

Uncertainty about the persistence of periods characterized by large price shocks is an important aspect of monetary policy. This type of uncertainty posed some difficulties for central banks in 2004. This paper formalizes the treatment of this type of uncertainty by solving an optimal control...

By following the spirit in Favero and Milani (2005), we use recursive thick modeling to take into account model uncertainty for the choice of optimal monetary policy. We consider an open economy model and generate multiple models for only the aggregate demand and aggregate supply. Models are...

We investigate the problem of maximizing the robust utility functional <InlineEquation ID="Equ1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$\inf_{Q \in \mathcal{Q}} E_Qu(X)$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. We give the dual characterization for its solution for both a complete and an incomplete market model. To this end, we introduce the new notion of reverse f-projections and use techniques...</equationsource></inlineequation>

A canonical problem in real option pricing, as described in the classic text of Dixit and Pindyck [2], is to determine the optimal time to invest at a fixed cost, to receive in return a stochastic cashflow. In this paper we are interested in this problem in an incomplete market where the...

Studies of bond return predictability find a puzzling disparity between strong statistical evidence of return predictability and the failure to convert return forecasts into economic gains. We show that resolving this puzzle requires accounting for important features of bond return models such...