Using a dynamic panel threshold model, we find a nonlinear effect of financial development on participation in the global value chains for 92 countries. The effect is positive below a threshold and turns negative above it. We provide evidence supporting our explanation that when a country’s...

This paper investigates the relationship between financial centrality and capital flow waves from a network perspective. Using the BIS CBS dataset on bilateral banking flows from 2000 Q1 through 2021 Q4, we construct several financial centrality measures. Then we discover that financial network...

East Asian and Latin American economies present opposite exchange rate electoral cycles: exchange rates tend to be more depreciated before and appreciated after elections among East Asian economies, while the opposite is true in Latin America. We propose a explanation for these empirical...

This paper proposes an empirical study of the shape of recoveries in financial markets from a bounce-back augmented Markov Switching model. This model is estimated for monthly stock market returns data of five developed countries for the post-1970 period. The presence and shape of the...