In this paper we develop a well-established financial model to investigate whether bubbles were present in opinion polls and betting markets prior to the UK’s vote on EU membership on 23 June 2016. The importance of our contribution is threefold. Firstly, our continuous-time model allows for...

In this paper we investigate the predictability of cryptocurrency returns following increases in COVID-19 cases/deaths. We find that the rate of government intervention moderates the impact that COVID-19 cases/deaths have on cryptocurrency returns. We show that in periods of tightening...

We outline the valuation process for a No-Negative Equity Guarantee in an Equity Release Mortgage loan and for an Equity Release Mortgage that has such a guarantee. Illustrative valuations are provided based on the Black '76 put pricing formula and mortality projections based on the M5, M6 and...