Michaely, Roni; Rossi, Stefano; Weber, Michael - 2017 - This version: October 2017
Campbell (1991) decomposition, we are able to estimate expected cash flows from data on stock returns. Consistent with our … dividends. We show both theoretically and empirically that dividends signal safer, rather than higher, future profits. Using the … model's predictions, cash-flow volatility changes in the opposite direction from that of dividend changes and larger changes …