Сценарное моделирование развития животноводства с учетом Целей устойчивого развития (Modelling Scenarios of Sustainable Development in the Livestock Sector of Russia)
The relevance of the study is determined by the need to analyze the consequences of the con-centration of livestock farms, not only from an economic point of view, but also from an eco-logical one. The objective of the research is to develop pathways of sustainable development of animal husbandry in Russia, taking into account the possibilities of continuus growth in produc-tion and export of meat and milk, and accompanied by modern environmental problems like the growth of farm waste, and to discover the possibilities of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emis-sions from main livestock operations. The subject of the research is the environmental indica-tors characterizing the externalities arising from the production of livestock products (meat, milk, eggs). In the course of the work, traditional scientific methods were used - descriptive, analytical, statistical and methods of economic and mathematical modeling. The sources of in-formation were Russian and foreign scientific publications, official publications of normative legal documents and statistical data of state authorities of Russia, as well as foreign databases on agricultural statistics. The reported results conclude that the concentration of livestock pro-duction facilities leads to different environmental consequences. Among the leading regions of producers of livestock products, the highest concentration is in the Central Black Earth Region: the Belgorod and Kursk regions account for almost 30% of all waste from agriculture in Russia. The estimation of greenhouse gas emissions was carried out using the GLOBIOM partial equi-librium model. The calculation results showed that in the Belgorod region one of the lowest carbon footprint indicators in the production of livestock products: 8 t СО2 equiv. / t of protein, which is associated with the low-carbon development of poultry farming. In other regions, where the specialization of dairy and beef cattle breeding, the carbon footprint is at least 2 times higher, for example, in the Krasnodarsky krai, however, the indicators of waste output per unit of production, on the contrary, are lower there. Thus, the scientific novelty of the research lies in the development of scientific and analytical tools for the correct identification of local, regional and global environmental risks when assessing the efficiency of production of meat, milk and eggs. So, in our study, local risks were assessed through the concentration of manure (nitrogen) elements per unit of agricultural land and sown area at the level of municipalities. Regional risks were assessed through the indicator of waste from agricultural products. And global risks were assessed through an indicator of greenhouse gas emissions, which also allowed us to estimate the so-called cumulative carbon footprint of each region in terms of the unit of animal protein produced. Based on the results of the study, recommendations were developed to improve statistical reporting on production waste in the agricultural sector; to differentially collect and publish data on various types of feeding of farm animals in different categories of farms, which will subsequently help to better calculate animal diets and their potential waste and greenhouse gas emissions, in order to identify the most “dirtiest” and “sustainable” animal husbandry practices. The report is prepared under State research assignment of RANEPA
Year of publication: |
2022
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Authors: | Strokov, Anton ; Potashnikоv, Vladimir |
Publisher: |
[S.l.] : SSRN |
Subject: | Nachhaltige Entwicklung | Sustainable development | Russland | Russia | Tierhaltung | Animal husbandry |
Saved in:
freely available
Extent: | 1 Online-Ressource (87 p) |
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Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Notes: | Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments August 17, 2022 erstellt |
Other identifiers: | 10.2139/ssrn.4192231 [DOI] |
Classification: | Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation ; Q53 - Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste ; C39 - Econometric Methods: Multiple/Simultaneous Equation Models. Other |
Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078455