A contribution to the identification of promising technologies for the 2050 swiss energy R&D policy vision : Schlussbericht
ausgearb. durch Meinrad Bürer; Clemens Cremer. Eidgenössisches Departement für Umwelt, Verkehr, Energie und Kommunikation UVEK; Bundesamt für Energie BFE
Energy research roadmapping is highly dependent on the assumptions made for the energy system framework conditions. In order to reflect this dependency in the presented work, different visions of 'Futures' have been developed, which may realise according to the materialisation of the driving forces exerted from the framework conditions. In theory, the probability of occurrence of the four different "Futures" investigated can be identified in a "world of possible" limited to those four "Futures" when associating a probability to the different driving forces considered. The relative importance of R&D activities related to the various technologies considered can then be derived. Tree diagrams represent a possibilitiy to represent outcomes from quantitative and qualitative investigation of the four "Futures" depending on whether the degree of acceptance of nuclear energy or the degree of success of the liberalisation process is seen as the dominant driving force. Other trees can of course be drawn with different appreciations dependent on what driving forces are dominant.
Year of publication: |
2006
|
---|---|
Authors: | Bürer, Meinrad ; Cremer, Clemens |
Institutions: | Schweiz / Bundesamt für Energie (contributor) ; Schweiz / Eidgenössisches Departement für Umwelt, Verkehr, Energie und Kommunikation (contributor) |
Publisher: |
Bern : Bundesamt für Energie |
Subject: | Energieversorgung | Energy supply | Nachhaltige Energieversorgung | Sustainable energy supply | Technologiepolitik | Technology policy | Innovationswettbewerb | Technology competition | Ökologie | Ecology | Prognose | Forecast | Schweiz | Switzerland |
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