A Multivariate Causality Analysis of Export and Growth for Turkey

This study seeks to validity of the export-led growth hypothesis using quarterly data from 1980 to 2005. The bounds testing approach to cointegration is employed to test the causal relationship between industrial production, exports and terms of trade. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis is implemented to identify the direction of relationship among the variables both in the short-run and the long-run. The empirical findings suggest uni-directional causation from exports to industrial production.

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Year of publication:	2007
Authors:	Halicioglu, Ferda
Publisher:	Brussels : Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI)
Subject:	Export-led growth \| causality \| cointegration \| Turkey

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Series:	EERI Research Paper Series ; 05/2007
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Working Paper
Language:	English
Other identifiers:	866061851 [GVK] hdl:10419/142510 [Handle] RePEc:eei:rpaper:EERI_RP_2007_05 [RePEc]
Classification:	C12 - Hypothesis Testing ; C22 - Time-Series Models ; F14 - Country and Industry Studies of Trade ; F43 - Economic Growth of Open Economies
Source:	EconStor

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496051