AN ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF ENSO (EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) ON GLOBAL CROP YIELDS

Forecasts of global crop yields prior to planting have generally been single values, based on entirely past trends. Regression analysis testing a combination of data from ENSO (El Nino/Southern Oscillation) and ARMA models suggests that yield forecasting errors can be reduced, generating more normal distributions of these errors.

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Year of publication:	1999
Authors:	Ferris, John N.
Institutions:	Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA
Subject:	Crop Production/Industries \| Resource /Energy Economics and Policy \| Risk and Uncertainty

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	The text is part of a series 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN Number 21517
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220796