An evaluation of Chinese economic forecasts

This paper analyses the real GDP growth and inflation forecasts prepared by the International Monetary Fund, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and the private forecasters between 1999 and 2010. The empirical results show that the long-term growth forecasts were inferior to a naïve model and were biased. The average of a number of short-term private forecasts dominated those made by the international organisations.

MoreLess

Year of publication:	2013
Authors:	Stekler, H.O. ; Zhang, Huixia
Published in:	Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies. - Taylor & Francis Journals, ISSN 1476-5284. - Vol. 11.2013, 4, p. 251-259
Publisher:	Taylor & Francis Journals

Online Resource

Check full text access |

More access options

Check Google Scholar

In libraries world-wide (WorldCat)

In German libraries (KVK)

subito order

I need help

More details

Extent:	text/html
Type of publication:	Article
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010717938