Analisis Kausalitas Antara PembangunanManusia dan Kinerja Ekonomi Sumatera Utara.

The Title of this research is Causality analyze between human development andeconomic growth in North Sumatera. This research purposed to analyze causality relationbetween Human development and economic growth in North Sumatera. Variables used for thismodel are Human development Index (HDI) and Gross Domestic Regional Product (GDRP).Employed data is time series data since 1991th to 2005th. Analyze methods used areGranger Causality model with Unit Root test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Test (ADF test).The results shows that, HDI and GDRP do not have a causality relation. It proved withthe probability value of Granger Causality for GDRP’s determination to HDI is 0,01646 at lag =1 and 0,00367 at lag = 2 smaller than α = 5% (0,05). In the other side HDI’s Determination toGDRP is 0.90633 at lag = 1 and 0.12791 at lag = 2 bigger than α = 5%. There is co-integration orlong-run Equilibrium between PDRB and IPM, it proved by DF-ADF test at α = 10% andcritical value -2.701103 bigger than ADF t-statistic -2.880249.