Analysing megatrends to better shape the future of tourism
OECD
The future of tourism will be impacted by large-scale social, economic, political, environmental and technological changes, bringing new and often unseen challenges, threats and opportunities. These “megatrends” are slow to form, but once they have taken root, exercise a profound and lasting influence on human activities, processes and perceptions, including for tourism. Four megatrends are likely to have significant impacts and relevance for tourism: i) evolving visitor demand; ii) sustainable tourism growth; iii) enabling technologies; and iv) travel mobility. Exploring the multidimensional implications of these megatrends to 2040 is important to inform policy and shape the future of tourism. This Tourism Paper develops a range of plausible scenarios and potential policy responses for the megatrends mentioned above, it then examines how policy makers can better prepare for megatrends, and presents a set of guiding principles for effective strategic foresight in tourism.
Year of publication: |
2018
|
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Institutions: | OECD |
Publisher: |
Paris : OECD Publishing |
Subject: | tourism | megatrends | strategic foresight | scenario planning | visitor demand | sustainabletourism | enabling technologies | travel mobility | Tourismus | Tourism | Szenariotechnik | Scenario analysis | Tourismuswirtschaft | Tourism industry | Technischer Fortschritt | Technological change | Prognose | Forecast | Urlaubsverhalten | Holiday behaviour | Strategisches Management | Strategic management | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model |
Saved in:
Online Resource
Extent: | 1 Online-Ressource (circa 70 Seiten) Illustrationen |
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Series: | OECD Tourism papers. - Paris : OECD, ISSN 2307-1672, ZDB-ID 2768410-6. - Vol. no. 2018, 02 |
Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Other identifiers: | 10.1787/d465eb68-en [DOI] |
Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147108
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