Antecedents of War : The Geopolitics of Low Oil Prices and Decelerating Financial Liquidity

We investigate the joint dynamics of oil prices, financial liquidity and geopolitical risk, within a multi-country global vector-autoregressive (GVAR) model. We find that low oil prices are expected to trigger higher levels of geopolitical risk, and that decelerating financial liquidity serves as an accelerator

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Year of publication:	2018
Authors:	Abdel-Latif, Hany
Other Persons:	El-Gamal, Mahmoud (contributor)
Publisher:	[2018]: [S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Geopolitik \| Geopolitics \| Ölpreis \| Oil price \| Welt \| World

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource (10 p)
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments December 15, 2017 erstellt
Other identifiers:	10.2139/ssrn.3171443 [DOI]
Classification:	C32 - Time-Series Models ; E17 - Forecasting and Simulation ; f44 ; F47 - Forecasting and Simulation ; O53 - Asia including Middle East ; Q43 - Energy and the Macroeconomy
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920286