Bias, information, noise : the BIN model of forecasting
Year of publication: |
2021
|
---|---|
Authors: | Satopää, Ville A. ; Salikhov, Marat ; Tetlock, Philip E. ; Mellers, Barbara A. |
Published in: |
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Catonsville, MD : INFORMS, ISSN 0025-1909, ZDB-ID 206345-1. - Vol. 67.2021, 12, p. 7599-7618
|
Subject: | Bayesian statistics | judgmental forecasting | partial information | Shapley value | wisdom of crowds | Theorie | Theory | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | Systematischer Fehler | Bias | Shapley-Wert | Unvollkommene Information | Incomplete information | Statistische Methodenlehre | Statistical theory | Zeitreihenanalyse | Time series analysis | Prognose | Forecast |
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