Breaking the curse of Sisyphus : an empirical analysis of post-conflict economic transitions

Serhan Cevik and Mohammad Rahmati

This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960?2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-generalized method of moments. In addition to an array of demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional variables, we introduce an estimated risk of conflict recurrence as an explanatory variable in the growth regression, because post-conflict countries have a tendency to relapse into subsequent conflicts even years after the cessation of violence. The empirical results show th

MoreLess

Year of publication:	2013
Authors:	Cevik, Serhan ; Rahmati, Mohammad
Publisher:	Washington, DC : IMF
Subject:	Politischer Konflikt \| Political conflict \| Wirtschaftswachstum \| Economic growth \| Systemtransformation \| Economic transition \| 1960-2010

freely available

Full text |

More access options

Check Google Scholar

In libraries world-wide (WorldCat)

In German libraries (KVK)

subito order

I need help

Extent:	Online-Ressource (48 S.) graph. Darst.
Series:	IMF working papers. - Washington, DC : IMF, ZDB-ID 2108494-4. - Vol. 13/2 IMF Working Papers
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper ; Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Civil Conflicts Across the World; II. A Brief Survey of Growth and Conflict Literature; 2. Distribution of Post-Conflict Growth Rates; III. Data Overview; IV. Theoretical Framework and Empirical Methodology; A. Estimating Post-Conflict Economic Performance; B. Estimating the Risk of Conflict Recurrence; Tables; 1. Determinants of the Risk of Conflict Recurrence; 3. Probability of Conflict Recurrence; 4. Variation in the Risk of Conflict Recurrence; 5. Risk of Conflict Recurrence and Economic Growth; V. Empirical Results 2. Determinants of Post-Conflict Real GDP Per Capita Growth3. Determinants of Post-Conflict Real GDP Per Capita Growth (Alternative); VI. Robustness of the Results; VII. Conclusion; Appendix Tables; 1. List of Countries with Conflict Episodes; 2. List of Variables; 3. Summary of Descriptive Statistics; 4. Estimation of Different Time Regimes; 5. Estimation of Different Geographic Specifications; 6. Fisher-Type Unit Root Test Based on the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test; 7. Correlation of Conflict Risk Measured by Models Presented in Table 1; REFERENCES Electronic reproduction; Available via World Wide Web
ISBN:	978-1-4755-3115-2 ; 978-1-4755-9064-7 ; 978-1-4755-3115-2
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009706767