Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting

The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis

MoreLess

Year of publication:	2008
Authors:	Stock, James H.
Other Persons:	Watson, Mark W. (contributor)
Publisher:	Chicago : University of Chicago Press
Subject:	Theorie \| Theory \| Wirtschaftsindikator \| Economic indicator \| Frühindikator \| Leading indicator \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Konjunktur \| Business cycle
Description of contents:	Table of Contents [gbv.de]

Online Resource

Check full text access |

More access options

Check Google Scholar

In libraries world-wide (WorldCat)

In German libraries (KVK)

subito order

I need help

Extent:	Online-Ressource (350 p.)
Series:	NBER-Business Cycles ; v.Vol 28 Studies in business cycles ; v. 28 National Bureau of Economic Research Studies in Business Cycles ; v.28
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Business Cycles, Indicators and Forecasting; Contents; Acknowledgments; Introduction; 1.Twenty-two Years of the NBER-ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys: Aspects and Comparisons of Forecasting Performance; 2. A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience; 3. Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation; 4. A Nine-Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model; 5. Why Does the Paper-Bill Spread Predict Real Economic Activity?; 6. Further Evidence on Business-Cycle Duration Dependence 7. A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections8. Modeling Nonlinearity over the Business Cycle; Contributors; Author Index; Subject Index;
ISBN:	978-0-226-77488-6 ; 978-0-226-77474-9 ; 978-0-226-77488-6
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012675708