Business Surveys and Inflation Forecasting in China

We use business survey data collected by the People's Bank of China for inflation forecasting. Some survey indicators lead to enhanced forecasting performance relative to the univariate benchmark model, especially for a period of moderate inflation. However, the estimated models do not do a good job of tracking the recent pickup in Chinese inflation, due to increases in food prices

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Year of publication:	[2008]
Authors:	Mehrotra, Aaron N.
Other Persons:	Kaaresvirta, Juuso (contributor)
Publisher:	[2008]: [S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	China \| Inflation \| Frühindikator \| Leading indicator \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource (17 p)
Series:	BOFIT Discussion Paper ; No. 22/2008
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments November 22, 2008 erstellt
Other identifiers:	10.2139/ssrn.1313021 [DOI]
Classification:	C53 - Forecasting and Other Model Applications ; E31 - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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