Capital flows and the boom-bust cycle: The case of Estonia
During 2000-2007, Estonia was among the fastest growing emerging market economies, but in late-2008 entered a deep recession. This paper examines shocks, institutions, and policies that have made Estonia's boom-bust cycle so severe. It finds that an open capital account, the prospect for EU entry, and the currency board facilitated massive capital inflows, which led to credit and real estate booms. In late-2008 a domestic slowdown was greatly amplified by the global financial and economic crisis. To resume sustainable growth, the country will need to regain competitiveness and rebalance resources to exports. Estonia's experience underscores the importance for other emerging market economies to retain some flexibility in their macroeconomic frameworks and approach capital account liberalization cautiously.
Year of publication: |
2010
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Authors: | Brixiova, Zuzana ; Vartia, Laura ; Wörgötter, Andreas |
Published in: |
Economic Systems. - Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (IOS), ISSN 0939-3625. - Vol. 34.2010, 1, p. 55-72
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Publisher: |
Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (IOS) |
Keywords: | Capital flows Boom-bust cycle Global financial and economic crisis Estonia |
Saved in:
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