Civil War in the Post-Colonial World, 1946-92
In this article, we provide a systematic analysis of the extent to which political, economic, and cultural factors are associated with civil wars in the post-colonial states of Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. Results of logistic regression analyses corroborate previous findings that semi-democracy is associated with an increased likelihood of civil war, while greater economic development reduces the probability of civil war. We also found that militarized post-colonial states are more likely to experience civil war, as are Asian — more than Middle Eastern and African — states. Among the political, economic, and cultural factors, semi-democracy has the greatest impact on the probability of civil war, which suggests the greater role of political — more than economic or cultural — factors in post-colonial civil wars. All told, the findings suggest that a multifaceted strategy of full democratization, demilitarization, and development is required to reduce the likelihood of civil war in post-colonial states.
Year of publication: |
2000
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Authors: | Henderson, Errol A. ; Singer, J. David |
Published in: |
Journal of Peace Research. - Peace Research Institute Oslo. - Vol. 37.2000, 3, p. 275-299
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Publisher: |
Peace Research Institute Oslo |
Saved in:
Online Resource
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