Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition
Don A. Moore, Samuel A. Swift, Angela Minster, Barbara Mellers, Lyle Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Heather H. J. Yang, Elizabeth R. Tenney
| Year of publication: |
November 2017
|
|---|---|
| Authors: | Moore, Don A. ; Swift, Samuel A. ; Minster, Angela ; Mellers, Barbara A. ; Ungar, Lyle ; Tetlock, Philip E. ; Yang, Heather H. J. ; Tenney, Elizabeth R. |
| Published in: |
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Catonsville, MD : INFORMS, ISSN 0025-1909, ZDB-ID 206345-1. - Vol. 63.2017, 11, p. 3552-3565
|
| Subject: | confidence | overconfidence | forecasting | prediction | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Vertrauen | Confidence | Prognose | Forecast | Wirtschaftsprognose | Economic forecast | Geopolitik | Geopolitics | Frühindikator | Leading indicator | Theorie | Theory |
| Type of publication: | Article |
|---|---|
| Type of publication (narrower categories): | Aufsatz in Zeitschrift ; Article in journal |
| Language: | English |
| Other identifiers: | 10.1287/mnsc.2016.2525 [DOI] |
| Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472