Corporate Management of Highly Dynamic Risks : Evidence from the Demand for Terrorism Insurance in Germany

This paper investigates a corporation's risk management response to highly dynamic risks. Using a unique data set on the German terrorist insurance market, the paper tests whether corporate risk managers have a clear understanding of the probability distribution of highly dynamic risks or if risk managers learn from severe losses and base their decisions upon day-to-day experience. The paper further investigates whether risk managers become more confident in their risk management decisions over time. For this purpose, we apply Viscusi's prospective reference theory to a corporate context. We find that firms learn from single events when making their risk management decisions, and that risk managers become more confident with their risk management decisions over time