Die Prognose von Spielausgängen in der Fußball-Bundesliga

In this paper models for the prediction of matches in the German Soccer Bundesliga are estimated. In a frst step the expected difference of the number of goals is estimated on the basis of estimated abilities of the teams. Here, a focus lies on the necessity of robust parameter estimation. In a second step the probabilities for home team wins/losses and ties are estimated using a Bayesian updating procedure.

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Year of publication:	2001
Authors:	Niermann, Stefan
Publisher:	Hannover : Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
Subject:	Fußball-Bundesliga \| Prognose \| Bayesian Updating

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Series:	Diskussionsbeitrag ; 247
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Working Paper
Language:	German
Other identifiers:	37604800X [GVK] hdl:10419/78320 [Handle] RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-247 [RePEc]
Source:	EconStor

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317579