- Abstract
- Non-technical summary
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The data
- 2.1 The data set
- 2.2 Fixed event and fi xed horizon forecasts
- 2.3 Descriptive statistics
- 3 Drivers of disagreement
- 3.1 A fi rst look at disagreement
- 3.2 Disagreement over time
- 3.3 An intermezzo on macroeconomic volatility
- 3.4 Disagreement and macro variablesv3.5 Disagreement andcentral bank independence
- 4 Disagreement across countries
- 4.1 Country-by-country regression analysis
- 4.2 Cross-variable and cross-country linksbetween disagreement
- 5 Turbulent expectations
- 6 Conclusion
- References
- Tables and fi gures
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