Does slower growth imply lower interest rates?
Over the past two years, both monetary and fiscal policy projections have been based on the view that declines in the long-run potential growth rate of the economy will in turn push down interest rates. In contrast, examination of private-sector professional forecasts and historical data provides little evidence of such a linkage. This suggests a greater risk that future interest rates may be higher than expected.
Year of publication: |
2014
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---|---|
Authors: | Leduc, Sylvain ; Rudebusch, Glenn |
Published in: |
FRBSF Economic Letter. - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. - 2014, 33
|
Publisher: |
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco |
Saved in:
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