Elemental Tests of the Traditional Rational Voting Model
A simple, robust, quasi-linear, structural general equilibrium rational voting model indicates turnout by voters motivated by the possibility of deciding the outcome is bellcurved in the ex-post winning margin and inversely proportional to electorate size. Applying this model to a large set of union certification elections, which often end in ties, yields exacting, lucid tests of the theory. Voter turnout is strongly related to election closeness, but not in the way predicted by the theory. Thus, this relation is generated by some other mechanism, which is indeterminate, as no existing theory explains the nonlinear patterns of turnout in the data.
Year of publication: |
2007-10
|
---|---|
Authors: | Grant, Darren ; Toma, Michael |
Institutions: | Department of Economics and International Business, College of Business Administration |
Saved in:
freely available
Saved in favorites
Similar items by person
-
The Dynamics of Drinking and Driving in the U.S.: The Role of Social Forces and the Role of Law
Grant, Darren, (2010)
-
The Simple Economics of Thresholds: Evidence from the Western States 100
Grant, Darren, (2010)
-
Politics, Policy Analysis, and the Passage of the National Minimum Drinking Age Act of 1984
Grant, Darren, (2011)
- More ...