Estimación de la dependencia en España a partir de la EDAD 2008.

The evolution of dependency in Spain will have a significant effect over long-term care demand. With the purpose of getting knowledge of the dimension of the dependent population, we apply the EDAD2008. Next, using the Short Term Demographic Projections drew up by INE, we develop different scenarios of dependency projections. We ascertain a growth of the institutionalization rate, a reduction of moderate dependency and an increase of high dependency, as well, as an acute process of dependency feminisation for the cohort older than 75 years. On the other hand, dependency projections point in favour of the morbidity compression model and exhibit a lesser dependency growth in comparison with previous estimations.