Estimating covariation: Epps effect, microstructure noise
This paper is about how to estimate the integrated covariance <X,Y>T of two assets over a fixed time horizon [0,T], when the observations of X and Y are "contaminated" and when such noisy observations are at discrete, but not synchronized, times. We show that the usual previous-tick covariance estimator is biased, and the size of the bias is more pronounced for less liquid assets. This is an analytic characterization of the Epps effect. We also provide the optimal sampling frequency which balances the tradeoff between the bias and various sources of stochastic error terms, including nonsynchronous trading, microstructure noise, and time discretization. Finally, a two scales covariance estimator is provided which simultaneously cancels (to first order) the Epps effect and the effect of microstructure noise. The gain is demonstrated in data.
Year of publication: |
2011
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Authors: | Zhang, Lan |
Published in: |
Journal of Econometrics. - Elsevier, ISSN 0304-4076. - Vol. 160.2011, 1, p. 33-47
|
Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Bias-variance tradeoff Epps effect High frequency data Measurement error Market microstructure Martingale Nonsynchronous trading Realized covariance Realized variance Two scales estimation |
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