Exchange Rate Assessments

Are the current account fluctuations in oil-exporting countries ""excessive""? How should their real exchange rate respond to the evolution of external (and domestic) fundamentals? This paper proposes methodologies tailored to the specific features of oil-exporting countries that help address these questions. Price-based methodologies (based on the time series of real effective exchange rates) identify a strong link between the real exchange rate and the terms of trade, but have relatively limited explanatory power. On the other hand, an empirical model of the current account, which fits oil e

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Year of publication:	2009
Authors:	Carvalho Filho, Irineu E.
Other Persons:	Bems, Rudolfs (contributor)
Publisher:	Washington : International Monetary Fund
Subject:	Wechselkurs \| Exchange rate \| Wechselkurstheorie \| Exchange rate theory

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Extent:	Online-Ressource (37 p)
Series:	IMF Working Papers IMF working paper ; WP/09/281
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Current Account Behavior for Oil Exporters; 2. Oil Dependency and Volatility, 1970-2006; II. Price Based Methodologies; A. Regression model setup; B. Econometric results; C. Robustness; D. Implementation; Tables; 1. ERER Regression: Long-Run Coefficients (1980-2007); III. Quantity Based Methodologies; 2. Determinants of the Current Account in the Medium-Run: 1969-2007; IV. Balance Sheet-Based Methodologies; A. Theoretical Background; B. Allocation Rules; C. Determinants of Current Account Balances; D. Implementation; Text Tables 3. Time-series Data for the Dynamic ES Exercise4. NFA-Stabilizing CA Balances under Various ES Specification; 3. Evolution of NFA under Various ES Specification; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendices; 1. Implementation of Quality-Based Approaches to Real Exchange Rate Assessment; 2. Unit Root and Cointegration Tests; Appendices Tables; 1. A. Unit Root Test on Real Exchange Rate and Fundamentals (1980-2007); B. Panel Unit Root Tests; 2. Panel Cointegration Tests; 3. Sample Composition
ISBN:	978-1-4518-7426-6 ; 978-1-4527-7124-3 ; 978-1-4518-7426-6
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012677525