Exchange rate pass-through: Theoretical and empirical issues
This dissertation examines several theoretical and empirical issues associated with exchange rate pass-through, defined as the percentage change in import prices for a one percent change in the exchange rate. The theoretical sections of this study posit a conjectural variations model of industrial competition. In its simplest form there is one domestic and one foreign firm that each set a price for a differentiated good based on simple profit maximization criteria under various conjectures about the other firm's response. Unlike previous pass-through models, it is recognized that firms use inputs that can be from a home or foreign country supplier. Sourcing is defined as the extent to which one firm uses as an input a good from the other country. Therefore, the extent to which each firm uses a sourced input will expose each firm's costs to exchange rate fluctuations. It is shown that as the extent of sourcing by the foreign firm increases, the pass-through elasticity on domestic import prices becomes more inelastic. Thus, we would expect that as the amount of inter-industry trade in intermediate goods increases, import prices would become less responsive to the exchange rate. The model is extended to an industry structure where there is a set of identical domestic and a set of identical foreign firms. It is shown that as the number of foreign firms increases, the pass-through elasticity becomes more elastic.
Year of publication: |
1994
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Authors: | Bishop, Paul Charles |
Other Persons: | Grinols, E. (contributor) |
Subject: | Theory |
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