Extremizing and antiextremizing in Bayesian ensembles of binary-event forecasts
Year of publication: |
2022
|
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Authors: | Lichtendahl, Kenneth C. ; Grushka-Cockayne, Yael ; Jose, Victor Richmond R. ; Winkler, Robert L. |
Published in: |
Operations research. - Linthicum, Md. : INFORMS, ISSN 1526-5463, ZDB-ID 2019440-7. - Vol. 70.2022, 5, p. 2998-3014
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Subject: | bracketing | Decision Analysis | extremizing and antiextremizing | forecast aggregation | generalized linear model | linear opinion pool | probit ensemble | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Schätztheorie | Estimation theory | Bayes-Statistik | Bayesian inference | Probit-Modell | Probit model | Ausreißer | Outliers |
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