Finance and Macroeconomic Volatility

Countries with more developed financial sectors experience less fluctuations in real per capita output, consumption and investment growth. However, the manner in which the financial sector develops matters. The relative importance of banks in the financial system is important in explaining consumption and investment volatility, and the proportion of credit provided to the private sector explains the volatility of consumption and output. The main results are generated using fixed-effects estimation with panel data from 70 countries covering the years 1956 through 1998.