Global economic prospects, June 2016 divergences and risks
World Bank Group.
Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Foreword -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- Chapter 1 Global Outlook: Divergences and Risks -- Summary and key messages -- Major economies: Recent developments and outlook -- Global trends -- Emerging market and developing economies: Recent developments and outlook -- Box 1.1 Low-income countries: Recent developments and outlook -- Outlook -- Box1.2 Regional perspectives: Recent developments and outlook -- Risks to the outlook -- Policy challenges -- References -- Special Focus 1 Recent Credit Surge in Historical Context -- Introduction -- Evolution of private sector credit -- Recent credit growth in light of past episodes -- Current credit levels: Warning signs? -- Conclusion -- Annex SF1.1 Robustness exercises -- References -- Special Focus 2 Quantifying Uncertainties in Global Growth Forecasts -- Selected risk indicators -- Risk indicators and global growth -- Balance of risks to global growth -- Conclusion -- Annex SF2.1 Estimating the distribution of the global growth forecast -- References -- Chapter 2 Regional Outlooks -- East Asia and Pacific -- Recent developments -- Box 2.1.1 Macroeconomic policy developments in selected EAP countries -- Outlook -- Risks -- Policy challenges -- Europe and Central Asia -- Recent developments -- Outlook -- Risks -- Policy challenges -- Latin America and the Caribbean -- Recent developments -- Box 2.3.1 Sub-regional divergence in Latin America and the Caribbean -- Outlook -- Risks -- Policy challenges -- Middle East and North Africa -- Recent developments -- Outlook -- Risks -- Policy challenges -- South Asia -- Recent developments -- Outlook -- Risks -- Policy challenges -- Sub-Saharan Africa -- Recent developments -- Outlook -- Box 2.6.1 Macroeconomic effects of low commodity prices in Sub-Saharan Africa -- Risks -- Policy challenges -- References.
