High-Frequency Volatility Modelling : A Markov-Switching Autoregressive Conditional Intensity Model
We develop a Markov-Switching Autoregressive Conditional Intensity (MS-ACI) model with time-varying transitional parameters, and show that it can be reliably estimated via the Stochastic Approximation Expectation-Maximization algorithm. Applying our model to high-frequency transaction data, we detect two distinct regimes in the intraday volatility process: a dominant volatility regime that is observable throughout the trading day representing the risk-transferring trading activity of investors, and a minor volatility regime that concentrates around market liquidity shocks which mainly capture impacts of firm-specific news arrivals. We propose a novel daily volatility decomposition based on the two detected volatility regimes
Year of publication: |
2019
|
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Authors: | Li, Yifan |
Other Persons: | Nolte, Ingmar (contributor) ; Nolte (Lechner), Sandra (contributor) |
Publisher: |
[2019]: [S.l.] : SSRN |
Subject: | Theorie | Theory | Volatilität | Volatility | Markov-Kette | Markov chain | Zeitreihenanalyse | Time series analysis | ARCH-Modell | ARCH model | Börsenkurs | Share price | Autokorrelation | Autocorrelation | Schätzung | Estimation |
Saved in:
freely available
Extent: | 1 Online-Ressource (36 p) |
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Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Notes: | Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments July 12, 2019 erstellt |
Other identifiers: | 10.2139/ssrn.2785499 [DOI] |
Classification: | c58 ; C51 - Model Construction and Estimation ; C22 - Time-Series Models ; C41 - Duration Analysis |
Source: | ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903299
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