Historical Climate Factors and Rice Prices in the Philippines

Developing countries rely on sectors like agriculture for production and sustenance. Climate change threatens their economic activity by impacting crop yields and affecting seasonal planting and harvests. Using advances in econometric modeling, however, one may analyze the effects of variable climate on crop yields. We study the case of the Philippines, which remains vulnerable to climate change. Using a MIDAS regression model comparing both daily and monthly climate data to monthly farmgate rice prices, we analyze how sensitive rice supply is to climate factors