Immigrants' Economic Performance and Selective Outmigration: Diverging Predictions from Survey and Administrative Data
We show that survey and administrative data-based estimates of a panel data model of earnings, employment, and outmigration yield very different qualitative and quantitative predictions. Survey-based estimates substantially overpredict outmigration, in particular for lower performing immigrants. Consequently, employment and earnings of immigrants who remain in the country are overpredicted relative to model predictions from administrative data. Importantly, estimates from both data sources find opposite self-selection mechanisms into outmigration. Differences hold despite using the same cohort, survey period, and observable characteristics. Differences in predictions are driven by difficulties of properly separating non-random sample attrition from selective outmigration in survey data.
Year of publication: |
2021
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Authors: | Bellemare, Charles ; Kyui, Natalia ; Lacroix, Guy |
Publisher: |
Bonn : Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) |
Subject: | sample attrition | outmigration | measurement errors | employment and earnings |
Saved in:
freely available
Series: | IZA Discussion Papers ; 14217 |
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Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Type of publication (narrower categories): | Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Other identifiers: | 1752973631 [GVK] hdl:10419/236248 [Handle] RePEc:iza:izadps:dp14217 [RePEc] |
Classification: | C33 - Models with Panel Data ; J31 - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials by Skill, Training, Occupation, etc ; J15 - Economics of Minorities and Races ; J61 - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers |
Source: |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597363