Impact of MacroEconomic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution : Macro-Micro Evaluation Techniques and Tools

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Contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; Contributors; Abbreviations; 1 Introduction: Evaluating the Impact of Macroeconomic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution; Figure 1.1 Schematic Representation of the Top-Down Modeling Approach; Part I. Top-Down Approach with Micro Accounting; Table 2.1 Predicted Price Changes Due to Agricultural Trade Reform in Morocco; Table 2.2 Consumption Shares and Welfare Impacts through Consumption; Table 2.3 Percentage Gains from Each Policy: Production Component; Table 2.4 Household Impacts of Four Trade Reforms

Figure 2.1 Impacts of Trade Reform Policies on Poverty in MoroccoTable 2.5 Mean Gains from Policy 4, by Region; Figure 2.2 Frequency Distributions of Gains and Losses for Trade Policies 1 and 4; Figure 2.3 Absolute and Proportionate Gains for Policies 1and 4; Figure 2.4 Production and Consumption Decomposition of the Welfare Impacts for Policy 4; Figure 2.5 Net Producers of Cereals in the Distribution of Total Consumption per Person in Rural Areas of Morocco; Table 2.6 Decomposition of the Impact on Inequality; Table 2.7 Summary Statistics on Explanatory Variables in the Regression Analysis

Table 2.8 Regression of per Capita Gain/Loss on Selected Household CharacteristicsTable 2.9 Urban-Rural Split of Regressions for per Capita Gains; Table 3.1 LINKAGE Model: Regional and Sectoral Groups; Box 3.1 Consistency Issues; Table 3.2 Trade Protection by Origin, Destination, and Sector; Table 3.3 Economic Structure for Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico; Table 3.4 Household Incomes by Source, Segment, and Poverty Status; Table 3.5 Sectoral Adjustments; Table 3.6 Price (Factors, Consumption Aggregates) and Real Income Changes

Table 3.7 Initial Poverty Levels and Percentage Changes Resulting from Trade ReformsTable 3.8 Income Elasticity of Poverty Headcount; Part II. Top-Down Approach with Behavioral Micro Simulations; Table 4.1 Evolution of Poverty in Indonesia, 1996-99; Table 4.2 Evolution of Occupational Choices and Wages by Segment, 1997-98; Table 4.3 Historical Simulation Results; Table 4.4 Simulation Results: Macro Aggregates; Table 4.5 Simulation Results: Per Capita Income, Inequality, and Poverty Indicators; Figure 5.1 A Simplified Overview of the Top-Down Macro-Micro Framework

Table 5.1 An Overview of the Three Experiments ConductedFigure 5.2 An Overview of the Main Blocks of the Macro Model; Table 5.2 Standard Multipliers of the Macro Model Compared with Other Macro Models; Table 5.3 Some Results of the Macro Model, Historical Simulation for 1999; Table 5.4 Major Results of the Public Sector and Financial Sector Modules, Historical Simulation for 1999; Table 5.5 Aggregate Results from the Macro Model, Occupations; Table 5.6 Aggregate Results from the Macro Model, Earnings

Table 5.7 Detailed Results from the Top-Down Macro-Micro Models, Occupations by Skill and Sector

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