Innovazione tecnologica e offerta di skill: una simulazione del ruolo della storia e delle aspettative in unarea in via di sviluppo

In this paper a dynamic stochastic model is used to simulate the matching process between skills demand and supply in a segmented labor market of a typical developong area where labor market frictions are pervasive. We address the issue of the emergence of a "bad" outcome i.e. equilibrium towards the low level of development, given adverse initial conditions. In a second step we discuss the sensitivity of the endogenous dynamics yo parameters changes due to policy/institutional reforms that change the expectations of the economic agents.