LIQUIDITY PREFERENCE AND KNIGHTIAN UNCERTAINTY
We consider an infinite-horizon model of a risk-neutral fund-manager who contemplates in each period whether or not to make an irreversible investment which, if made, generates some return under a stochastic environment. Here, the fund-manager evaluates uncertainty by the Choquet expected utility with respect to a convex capacitary kernel and hence she exhibits uncertainty aversion. We provide the exact solution to this problem and show that it takes the form of a reservation strategy: There exists the reservation function such that if the current return exceeds the value of this function, the fund-manager should invest all the money subject to a cash-in-advance constraint; if it does not, she should not make any investment. We also conduct some sensitivity analyses to show that if risk increases in the sense of mean-preserving spread, then the reservation function is raised and that if uncertainty increases in the sense that the set of priors expands, then the reservation function is lowered.
Year of publication: |
2014-01
|
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Authors: | Nishimura, Kiyohiko G. ; Ozaki, Hiroyuki |
Institutions: | Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics |
Saved in:
freely available
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