Long memory in volatility and trading volume
We use fractionally-integrated time-series models to investigate the joint dynamics of equity trading volume and volatility. Bollerslev and Jubinski (1999) show that volume and volatility have a similar degree of fractional integration, and they argue that this evidence supports a long-run view of the mixture-of-distributions hypothesis. We examine this issue using more precise volatility estimates obtained using high-frequency returns (i.e., realized volatilities). Our results indicate that volume and volatility both display long memory, but we can reject the hypothesis that the two series share a common order of fractional integration for a fifth of the firms in our sample. Moreover, we find a strong correlation between the innovations to volume and volatility, which suggests that trading volume can be used to obtain more precise estimates of daily volatility for cases in which high-frequency returns are unavailable.
Year of publication: |
2011
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Authors: | Fleming, Jeff ; Kirby, Chris |
Published in: |
Journal of Banking & Finance. - Elsevier, ISSN 0378-4266. - Vol. 35.2011, 7, p. 1714-1726
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Realized volatility Fractional integration Strongly autocorrelated Bivariate mixture model Long-range dependence |
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