Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
The Delphi technique is better than traditional group meetings for forecasting and has some advantages over another promising alternative to meetings, prediction markets. In this article, Kesten, Scott, and Andreas observe the increasing popularity of Delphi, describe the benefits of using this method to obtain forecasts from experts, compare it with prediction markets, and conclude that Delphi should be used more widely. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2007
Year of publication: |
2007
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Authors: | Green, Kesten ; Armstrong, J. Scott ; Graefe, Andreas |
Published in: |
Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. - International Institute of Forecasters - IIF. - 2007, 8, p. 17-20
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Publisher: |
International Institute of Forecasters - IIF |
Saved in:
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