Modelling our future : population ageing, health, and aged care

Introduction and overview / Ann Harding -- Health status, health inequalities and the ability of older Australians to stay in the labour force / Agnes Walker -- Evaluating catastrophic drug expenditure plans / Bert Waslander -- Projections of Commonwealth health expenditure in Australia's first intergenerational report / George Rothman -- The Australian Pharmaceuticals benefit scheme and older australians : changes in government outlays and consumer costs from the 2002-03 federal budget measures / Ann Harding -- Modelling Medicare and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) utilisation and costs / Brett Parsons -- A microsimulation model for Pharmacare : development, analysis and policy applications / Anil Gupta -- Microsimulation model of medical insurance reform for government employees and workers in China / Lin Guohong -- The view from the middle : taking care of the young and the old / Steve Gribble -- A simulation model concerning future needs for long-term care of elderly persons in Sweden / Marten Lagergren -- Providing income support services to a changing aged population in Australia : Centrelinks regional microsimulation model / Anthony King -- Building policy-relevant health human resource models / Kisalaya Basu -- What is behind HRSA's projected U.S. supply, demand, and shortages of registered nurses / Timothy M. Dall -- Data quality and non-response effects when using logistical regression in the Welsh health survey / Ruth Studley -- Confidentiality and anonymised survey records : the UK experience / Paul Williamson -- Population ageing and health empirical needs for effective foresight / Michael C. Wolfson -- The search for ideas among existing microsimulation models / Anil Gupta -- Model 1 : MOSART (dynamic cross-sectional microsimulation model) / Nils M. Stolen -- Model 2 : DYNAMOD / Simon Kelly -- Model 3 : the SAGE Model : a dynamic microsimulation population model for Britain / Asghar Zaidi -- Model 4 : Lifepaths model / Steve Gribble -- Model 5 : SESIM (longitudinal dynamic microsimulation model) / Olle Sundberg -- Model 6 : DYNACAN (longitudinal dynamic microsimulation model) / Richard J. Morrison -- Model 7 : DESTINIE (modele demographique economique et social de trajectoires individuelles simulees, i.e. demographic, economic and social model of simulated individual trajectories) / Sophie Buffeteau -- Model 8 : GLADHISPANIA (a Spanish tax-benefits microsimulation model) / Amedeo Spadaro -- Model 9 : STINMOD (Static Incomes Model) / Quoc N. Vu -- Model 10 : EUROMOD the tax-benefit microsimulation model for the European Union / Holly Sutherland -- Model 11 : PSSRU long-term care finance model and CARESIM : two linked UK models of long-term care for older people / Robin Darton -- Model 12 : social policy simulation database and model (SPSD/M) / Brian Murphy -- Model 13 : the OECD tax-benefit model and policy database / Herwig Immervoll -- Model 14 : Pharmasim model / Anil Gupta -- Model 15 : LOTTE the Norwegian tax-benefit model system / Thor O. Thoresen -- Model 16 : IPDSM (Integrated Physician Demand and Supply Model) / Anil Gupta -- Model 17 : Registered Nurses Supply and Demand Models (NSM and NDM) / Marilyn B. Biviano -- Model 18 : MediSim (Static Microsimulation Model of the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme) / Laurie Brown -- Model 19 : SVERIGE / Magnus Stromgren -- Model 20 : NSW Hospitals Model / Linc Thurecht -- Model 21 : Customer Service Projection Model (cusp): a regional microsimulation model of Centrelink customers / Ben Phillips -- Model 22 SpatialMSM NATSEMs Small Area Household Model for Australia / Ann Harding -- Demographic change, health and health-risk behaviour across cohorts in Britain : implications for policy modelling / Jane Falkingham -- Measures of dependency among older people in community and residential settings in Scotland their development and application in resource forecasting / Adam Redpath