Navy fuel production during a middle east political disruption

Econometric and linear programming models have been used to study the production of Navy mobility fuels during a political disruption scenario in the year 1995. Among other conditions of the disruption, exports of petroleum from the Persian Gulf, Algeria, and Libya are reduced by 50% and strategic petroleum reserves are used at maximum rates. The disruption results in a 90% cut in Navy jet fuel production with stable price differentials and in high sulfur levels for Navy mobility fuels.