On the existence of the true value of a probability. Part 2: The representation theorem and the ergodic theory
Some authors, basing their ideas on the exchangeability property, on the postulates of the representation theorem and on its interpretation in the ambit of ergodic theory, believed to find a counterexample to the subjectivist model through the theoretical justification of the existence of an objective probability. As a proof of the inconsistency of this reasoning, the representation theorem allows to assert that the convergence of the relative frequency on a “true value” of the probability is only a metaphysical illusion motivated by an asymptotic behaviour of the personal assessments of initial probabilities, leading to intersubjective assignment. With regard to the ergodic theory, its assimilation to the propensity model allows the demonstration of its metaphysical character and the resulting subjectivity in the assignment f probabilities.
Year of publication: |
2011-07
|
---|---|
Authors: | Landro, Alberto H. |
Institutions: | Universidad del CEMA |
Saved in:
freely available
Extent: | application/pdf |
---|---|
Series: | CEMA Working Papers: Serie Documentos de Trabajo.. - ISSN 1668-4583. |
Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Language: | English |
Notes: | Number 458 34 pages |
Source: |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322672
Saved in favorites
Similar items by person
-
On the existence of the true value of a probability. Part I: Determinism versus aleatorism
Landro, Alberto H., (2011)
-
Landro, Alberto H., (2011)
-
On the existence of the true value of a probability. Part 1: Determinism versus aleatorism
Landro, Alberto H., (2011)
- More ...