Overconfident for real? Proper scoring for confidence intervals
Year of publication: |
2011
|
---|---|
Authors: | Krawczyk, Michał |
Institutions: | Wydział Nauk Ekonomicznych, Uniwersytet Warszawski |
Subject: | overconfidence | calibration | confidence intervals | proper scoring rules |
Extent: | application/pdf |
---|---|
Series: | |
Type of publication: | Book / Working Paper |
Notes: | Number 2011-15 23 pages |
Classification: | C44 - Statistical Decision Theory; Operations Research ; C91 - Laboratory, Individual Behavior ; D03 - Behavioral Economics; Underlying Principles ; D84 - Expectations; Speculations ; G17 - Financial Forecasting |
Source: |
-
Schlösser, Thomas, (2013)
-
Are the unskilled doomed to remain unaware?
Ryvkin, Dmitry, (2012)
-
Reducing within-group overconfidence through group identity and between-group confidence judgments
Brookins, Philip, (2014)
- More ...
-
Do pirates play fair? Ethical judgment of unauthorized sports broadcasts
Krawczyk, Michał, (2015)
-
To answer or not to answer? A field test of loss aversion
Krawczyk, Michał, (2011)
-
Framing in the field. A simple experiment on the reflection effect
Krawczyk, Michał, (2011)
- More ...