Perspectives à long terme de la population française et leurs implications économiques
The long term The period of population projections rarely exceeds 20 years. There is, therefore, some confusion between projections and forecasts. In this case, there is no ambiguity. The time-span is 100 years (2075) which shows clearly that the concern is with analyzing long-term consequences of future developments and distinguishing between temporary inconveniences and long-term burdens. Modifications in retirement age and in women's employment Age-specific activity rates are generally assumed to be constant or to vary only slightly. The analysis shows the specific effects of demographic development on activity. The study has been extended by comparing the effects with the consequences of a general reduction in the age at retirement, and with changes in women's activity rate. Overall, the results show considerable stability in activity rates. The dependency ratio is almost independent of age structure, but may be considerably modified by the two institutional factors studied.
Year of publication: |
1979
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Authors: | Tapinos, Georges ; Bras, Hervé Le |
Published in: |
Population (french edition). - Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED). - Vol. 34.1979, 1, p. 1391-1452
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Publisher: |
Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED) |
Saved in:
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