Predicting in shock : on the impact of negative, extreme, rare, and short lived events on judgmental forecasts
Year of publication: |
June 2018
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Authors: | Durbach, Ian ; Montibeller, Gilberto |
Published in: |
EURO Journal on decision processes. - Berlin : Springer, ISSN 2193-9438, ZDB-ID 2729845-0. - Vol. 6.2018, 1/2, p. 213-233
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Subject: | Behavioral decision making | Judgmental forecasting | Prediction intervals | Price forecasting | Uncertainty | Extreme events | Rare events | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Theorie | Theory | Prognose | Forecast | Schock | Shock | Entscheidung | Decision | Ausreißer | Outliers | Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit | Decision under uncertainty | Zeitreihenanalyse | Time series analysis |
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