Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries

In recent years, Fund staff has prepared cross-country analyses of macroeconomic vulnerabilities in low-income countries, focusing on the risk of sharp declines in economic growth and of debt distress. We discuss routes to broadening this focus by adding several macroeconomic and macrofinancial vulnerability concepts. The associated early warning systems draw on advances in predictive modeling

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Year of publication:	[2021]
Authors:	Weisfeld, Hans ; de Carvalho Filho, Irineu ; Comelli, Fabio ; Giri, Rahul ; Hellwig, Klaus-Peter ; Huang, Chengyu ; Liu, Li ; Lizarazo Ruiz, Sandra ; Mayer Cirkel, Alexis ; Presbitero, Andrea
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Entwicklungspolitik \| Development policy \| Entwicklungsländer \| Developing countries \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Geldpolitik \| Monetary policy \| Stress \| Work stress

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource (64 p)
Series:	IMF Working Paper ; No. 2020/289
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments December 2020 erstellt
Other identifiers:	10.2139/ssrn.3772495 [DOI]
Classification:	C53 - Forecasting and Other Model Applications ; E52 - Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects) ; G01 - Financial Crises ; O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development ; E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles ; E31 - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation ; G32 - Financing Policy; Capital and Ownership Structure ; q02
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250073