Prediction markets : theory and applications

1. Introduction / Leighton Vaughan Williams -- 2. Modeling idea markets : between beauty contests and prediction markets / Ivan Marinovic, Marco Ottaviani and Peter Norman SØrensen -- 3. How prediction markets can save event studies / Erik Snowberg, Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz -- 4. Mechanisms for prediction markets / Yiling Chen -- 5. Information markets for decision making : performance and feasibility / Karen Croxson -- 6. Using prediction markets in new product development / Bernd Skiera and Martin Spann -- 7. Prediction market accuracy for business forecasting / Andreas Graefe -- 8. Price biases and contract design : lessons from tradesports / Richard Borghesi -- 9. The predictive ability of financial markets / Les Coleman -- 10. The ability of markets to predict conditional probabilities : evidence from the US presidential campaign / Lionel Page -- 11. Prediction markets : a study on the Taiwan experience / Shu-Heng Chen. [and others] -- 12. Uses of sports wagering-based prediction markets outside of the world of gambling / Rodney J. Paul and Andrew P. Weinbach -- 13. Experimental prediction and pari-mutuel betting markets / Charles Noussair -- 14. The economic analysis of sports betting by expert gamblers and insiders : a survey / John Peirson -- 15. Who can beat the odds? : the case of football betting reviewed / Anastasios Oikonomodis and Johnnie Johnson -- 16. The prediction market for the Australian football league / Adi Schnytzer -- 17. Do experts know more than the crowd? : a case study / Michael A. Smith.