Problems and methods of econometrics : the Poincare lectures of Ragnar Frisch, 1933

chapter Introduction -- chapter 1 The philosophical foundations of econometrics. The axiomatic method. Utility as quantity. -- chapter 2 Examples of static and semi-static econometric theories. Monopoly, polypoly. The concept of force -- chapter 3 What is a dynamic theory? Properties of determined and indetermined systems. -- chapter 4 Examples of dynamic econometric theories. Oscillations in closed systems. The theory of crises. -- chapter 5 The creation of cycles by random shocks. Synthesis between a probabilistic point of view and the point of view of deterministic dynamic laws. -- chapter 6 Statistical construction of econometric functions. Autonomous and confluent equations. The danger of analysis of many variables. -- chapter 7 Time series techniques. Decomposition of series. Linear operations and their inversion problem. -- chapter 8 Conclusion: The significance of social and mechanical laws. Invariance and rigidity. Remarks on a philosophy of chaos.