PROBLEMS AND PROSPECT OF SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF RUSSIAN REGIONS (BY THE EXAMPLE OF SVERDLOVSK REGION)

Condition and trends regarding socio-demographic security of Sverdlovsk region in 2000-2009 are illustrated; the most challenging activity scopes are highlighted. Priority guidelines and target values of sociodemographic security enhancement in Sverdlovsk region until 2020 are determined. Prediction regarding population reproduction rates and probabilistic prediction of the population size of Sverdlovsk region until 2020 according to three scenarios are worked out. Estimate of the prognostic level of socio-demographic security of Sverdlovsk region until 2020 by division into blocks was obtained.